It is now 6:07PM on Tuesday, November 8th, 2016, and I hereby declare that Hillary Clinton has won the elections and become president. Here’s why:
The first polls close at 6:00PM exactly. Look at what happened to volatility, in this case UVXY, at exactly 6:00PM, the time the very first voting booths close.
Obviously, volatility would go down with Hillary as people fear Trump and, notably, his 35% protectionist tax. Here, we can see UVXY going down from $14.50 to $14.00 within minutes.
Of course, this data is obtained from exit polls around the country. UVXY is traded by huge hedge funds and banks and they have their own observers/pollers to ensure they get the answer “first.”
This graph shows that Hillary Clinton has won. UVXY will open below $12 tomorrow morning.
The polls are crazy and tight right now with Trump leading by 30 electoral votes
Yeah, sorry to burst your bubble but Trump is pretty much the next president, unless HIllary can magically pull 3 states out of her ass. The market will plunge rapidly like Brexit did but on a much larger magnitude. I am hoping to pick up undervalued companies during this period. I don’t know which, however.
ha-ha
you are the best contr-indicator.
Thanks a lot.
My reddit post have been censored yesterday.
https://www.reddit.com/r/wallstreetbets/comments/5bvv83/the_big_short_is_basically_in_front_of_your_eyes/
I really tried to warn you.
it is very clear that fscomeau is not a professional trader.
http://imgur.com/a/0Ez7E
Correction: The market is actually surprisingly bullish. Dow Jones is by $200. People seemed to have calmed down. The market is definitely shifting direction as people look to different investments. There is rapid buying of strategic assets in anticipation for what a Trump presidency would hold. I don’t think anyone could’ve seen this coming.